{"id":472,"date":"2016-06-28T18:34:58","date_gmt":"2016-06-29T01:34:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/?p=472"},"modified":"2016-06-28T18:35:43","modified_gmt":"2016-06-29T01:35:43","slug":"government-study-reveals-oregon-jobs-risk-pending-trade-agreement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/2016\/06\/28\/government-study-reveals-oregon-jobs-risk-pending-trade-agreement\/","title":{"rendered":"Government Study Reveals Oregon Jobs at Risk Under Pending Trade Agreement"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Labor Leaders &amp; Others Urge Congress Not to Put More Oregonians in the Unemployment Line<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/em><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-474\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4803-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"IMG_4803\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4803-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4803-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4803-1024x768.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Portland &amp; Beaverton, Oregon \u2014 Labor and community advocates held rallies and press events\u00a0in Beaverton and Portland this week to discuss the release of a new government study that finds Oregon jobs in manufacturing, agriculture, forest products and the service sector are at risk under the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement. \u00a0In front of a giant prop representing an unemployment line, they called on area Congress members Suzanne Bonamici (D-01) and Earl Blumeanuer (D-02) to oppose the TPP.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\">\u201c<span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">This report shows how damaging the TPP would be for Oregonians\u2019 jobs and wages, including in the machinery and equipment sectors,\u201d said John Kleiboeker, president of the International Association of Machinists &amp; Aerospace Workers\u2019 Lodge 63 of Gladstone. \u201cGiven the ITC has historically overestimated the benefits and downplayed the costs of trade agreements, the fact that they\u2019re saying so many Oregon industries are at risk under the TPP is a real cause for concern. \u00a0Representatives Bonamici and Blumenauer should be leading the charge against this job killer.\u201d \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-473 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4838-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"IMG_4838\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4838-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4838-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/IMG_4838-1024x768.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) recently published its official findings on the TPP, which reveal:<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">More than 99% of Oregon\u2019s manufacturing workers are in sectors of the economy projected to experience worsening trade deficits under the TPP. \u00a095,269 Oregonians work in manufacturing sectors expected to lose under the agreement, while only 514 Oregonians work in the one manufacturing sector expected to see gains (petroleum and coal).<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Oregon\u2019s top agricultural export, wheat, is expected to suffer decreased exports under the TPP, as is the forest products sector.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">White collar jobs are also at risk, with the U.S. service sector as a whole projected to experience a worsening trade balance under the TPP. \u00a0This includes worsening trade balances in everything from \u201ctransportation, logistics, travel and tourism\u201d to \u201cfinancial services.&#8221; <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">What\u2019s more, most of what U.S. service-sector benefits are projected for the TPP aren\u2019t from U.S.-based employees providing services cross-border, but rather from sales by U.S. companies&#8217; foreign-owned affiliates, meaning profits for transnational corporations, but fewer jobs for Oregon workers. \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-476\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516198_1229367233750848_4430757518365093896_n-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"13516198_1229367233750848_4430757518365093896_n\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516198_1229367233750848_4430757518365093896_n-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516198_1229367233750848_4430757518365093896_n-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516198_1229367233750848_4430757518365093896_n.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>The TPP was signed in February, but has not yet been submitted to Congress for a vote. \u00a0It is widely expected to be considered by Congress later this year. \u00a0Leading presidential candidates Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump have all criticized the TPP as bad for American jobs, and have said it should not be approved by Congress. \u00a0Representatives Bonamici and Blumenauer, however, have said they are undecided on the TPP. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\">\u201c<span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Oregon can\u2019t afford a trade deal that puts more hard-working people in the unemployment line,\u201d said Michael Shannon, director of the Oregon Fair Trade Campaign. \u00a0&#8220;The U.S. Labor Department has already certified more than 63,000 Oregon livelihoods as destroyed are a result of offshoring or displacement by imports since the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) \u2014 and that\u2019s just one narrow program that ignores huge sectors of the economy also hurt by bad trade policy. \u00a0This new ITC report indicates that type of job loss would only accelerate under the TPP. \u00a0There\u2019s no reason for indecision. \u00a0It\u2019s time for Oregon\u2019s Congress members to join the chorus against the TPP.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-477 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13510786_1229367127084192_1820351477358073503_n-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"13510786_1229367127084192_1820351477358073503_n\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13510786_1229367127084192_1820351477358073503_n-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13510786_1229367127084192_1820351477358073503_n-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13510786_1229367127084192_1820351477358073503_n.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>The ITC report\u2019s unexpected findings included that the TPP would provide almost no gains for U.S. economic growth (only 0.15 percent by 2032) while reducing employment in manufacturing, shrinking the U.S. service sector trade surplus and increasing the overall U.S. trade deficit. \u00a0Because the agency employs a model that incorporates unrealistic assumptions, such as constant full employment and no currency manipulation, past projections have systematically overstated the benefits of trade pacts relative to their outcomes. \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">The ITC projected much more optimistic outcomes for the most recent previous U.S. trade agreement on which TPP was modeled, the 2012 U.S-Korea Free Trade Agreement. But in reality, the U.S. trade deficit with Korea in the top 10 products that Oregon exports to Korea \u2013 including everything from machinery to agricultural products \u2013 ballooned 98 percent in the agreement&#8217;s first four years. The overall U.S. goods trade deficit with Korea surged $15.4 billion (99 percent). According to the administration\u2019s trade-jobs ratio, that equates to the loss of over 102,554 U.S. jobs\u00a0in four years\u00a0of the FTA. \u00a0The TPP dwarfs the size of the Korea trade agreement, covering approximately 40% of the global economy. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">This week&#8217;s press conferences were held in front of a 8\u2019 by 16\u2019 silhouette of an unemployment line emblazoned with the names of approximately 10,000 recent trade-related plant closures and downsizings.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #444444\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-478\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516560_1229364983751073_8634239163721711671_n-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"13516560_1229364983751073_8634239163721711671_n\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516560_1229364983751073_8634239163721711671_n-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516560_1229364983751073_8634239163721711671_n-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/files\/2016\/06\/13516560_1229364983751073_8634239163721711671_n.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>\u201c<span style=\"font-family: Georgia, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">With Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump all saying the TPP is a job-killer that doesn\u2019t deserve the support of Congress, it\u2019s distressing that members of Oregon\u2019s Congressional delegation are still waffling over it,\u201d said Laurie King of Climate-Jobs PDX. \u00a0&#8220;Yes, this might help Phil Knight make another billion dollars off of Vietnamese labor, but he doesn\u2019t need that. \u00a0Oregonians really do need good-paying jobs at decent wages, and the TPP puts their livelihoods at risk. Our Congressional delegation, including Earl Blumenauer and Suzanne Bonamici, should not take a more corporate stand than these presidential candidates.&#8221;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Labor Leaders &amp; Others Urge Congress Not to Put More Oregonians in the Unemployment Line Portland &amp; Beaverton, Oregon \u2014 Labor and community advocates held rallies and press events\u00a0in Beaverton and Portland this week to discuss the release of a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/2016\/06\/28\/government-study-reveals-oregon-jobs-risk-pending-trade-agreement\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v18.4.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Government Study Reveals Oregon Jobs at Risk Under Pending Trade Agreement - Oregon Fair Trade Campaign<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.citizenstrade.org\/ctc\/oregon\/2016\/06\/28\/government-study-reveals-oregon-jobs-risk-pending-trade-agreement\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Government Study Reveals Oregon Jobs at Risk Under Pending Trade Agreement - Oregon Fair Trade Campaign\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Labor Leaders &amp; 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